Common ordinal models, including the ordered logit model and the continuation ratio model, are formulated by a common score (ie, a linear combination of given explanatory variables) plus rank-specific ...

Here’s how an AI-powered trader earned $2.2 million on Polymarket using data models, automation and probability-based trading strategies.

Traders in bonds and credit default swaps are bombarded with information on the default probabilities implied by credit spreads using a simple ratio. This ratio predicts that the credit spread will be ...

Bots and AI are dominating Polymarket by exploiting mispriced odds and latency, leaving human traders struggling to compete.

This paper addresses the building of obligor-level hazard rate corporate probability of default models for stress testing, departing from the predominant practice in wholesale credit modeling of ...

The NBA playoffs are almost here, with the play-in tournament tipping off later tonight. But while the regular season was careening toward a dramatic finish, we were hard at work creating a live ...