A disturbance called Invest 93L by the National Hurricane Center could turn into a tropical depression or the next named storm of hurricane season.

So far in 2025, National Weather Service offices have issued more flood warnings than any other year on record dating back to 1986.

Here’s the latest Pensacola weather forecast and what to know about the tropical disturbance. Pensacola temperatures will start off hot on Monday and Tuesday, with high temperatures hitting 95 and 96 degrees, respectively. Monday’s heat index is set to hit 105, and Tuesday’s could reach 107 degrees.

Low pressure is expected to emerge over the Gulf of Mexico this week and it may move into a favorable environment for tropical cyclone development.

A Flood Watch has been issued for nearly all of Central Florida as a tropical disturbance moves over the state.

Central Florida is bracing for the potential of heavy rainfall and localized flooding this week as a tropical disturbance in the Atlantic moves westward toward the Gulf.

The system was east of Florida on Tuesday morning, and forecasters said its main threat will be downpours. But the National Hurricane Center said its chance of formation was growing: Forecasters on Tuesday gave the disturbance a 40 percent chance of becoming a tropical depression by Thursday.

Meteorologist Devon Lucie focuses on the tropics forecast showing you where the tropical disturbance is right now, how favorable the conditions in the Gulf are for tropical development, then dives into the forecast data showing you how much organization and strengthening is forecast right now,